All eyes were on Congress last week as they debated the financial rescue plan. Fed Chief Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Paulson proposed the $700 billion plan to purchase troubled mortgage assets from financial institutions, providing the institutions with much needed capital. The expectation is that the institutions will use the freed up capital to make credit more readily available. On Monday, the House unexpectedly voted against the plan, and the stock market plunged. A revised plan, which retained the core of the original plan, passed by a wide margin in the Senate on Wednesday and passed in the House on Friday. Despite the historic events this week, mortgage rates ended the week nearly unchanged.
In the shadow of the debate over the rescue plan, the economic data released during the week continued to highlight the weakness in the economy. The monthly Employment report showed that the economy lost -159K jobs in September, worse than the consensus forecast of -105K. The economy has lost jobs for nine straight months, which is the worst performance since the period following 9/11. The Unemployment Rate remained at 6.1%, which was up from 4.7% one year ago. Exports have been a source of strength this year, but economic weakness around the world has hurt in this area as well. It is hoped that the rescue plan will be a strong first step in boosting the economy, and other actions are also expected to help. Falling oil prices and low wage inflation have eased inflationary pressures. This will allow the Fed more flexibility to cut rates and stimulate the economy. Investors have priced in a half-point cut in the Fed Funds rate by the end of the year. For more information or for a free mortgage consultation please email me at corey@frontstreetmtg.com.
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