Friday, December 18, 2009

No Change from Fed

In a week full of major economic news, mortgage rates ended with little change. Wednesday's Fed meeting produced little reaction in mortgage markets. The PPI inflation report was higher than expected, but the more closely watched CPI report was right on target, remaining at low levels. Economic troubles in some developing nations produced a flight to safer assets, which helped mortgage markets late in the week.
As expected, the Fed held the fed funds rate steady and made no indication that it will raise this rate any time soon. Its statement contained no surprises. Of note, it described improvement in the job market since the last FOMC meeting, as the "deterioration in the labor market is abating." The Fed expects inflation to remain low. Finally, the statement reminded investors that the $1.25 trillion mortgage-backed securities purchase program will conclude at the end of the first quarter of 2010. Mortgage investors were generally pleased that there was no unfavorable news from the Fed meeting. The housing sector data released during the week was mostly favorable. November Housing Starts rose 9%, and Building Permits, a leading indicator, showed similar results. The December NAHB Homebuilders Sentiment index surprisingly dropped slightly, to the lowest level since June. Given the passage of the extension and expansion of the homebuyer tax credit, the index was expected to rise.

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